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  #81  
Old 05-07-2009, 12:23 PM
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Originally Posted by kevin View Post
www.boxofficemojo.com has a 'guess the opening gross' feature for Star Trek. It's currently average a $74.1 million opening.
Thats not good.
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  #82  
Old 05-07-2009, 12:23 PM
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I'm not sure if I understand it correctly, but since the bulk of pre-sales are for Thursday's etc then they will be reported as part of the Thursday figures, but that they will be separated from the Fri-Sun actuals.
I don't know if they'll separate Thursday figures or not, but you're correct that a Thursday ticket sale gets credited to that day.

In the end, I don't think it matters: no one is going to report on opening weekend sales (as Fri-Sun) and forget about Thursdays numbers -- they would just show the math separately and then add it all up for the total gross to-date on Monday. Thursday's dollars are just as valuable (and spendable) as Saturday's to Paramount.
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  #83  
Old 05-07-2009, 12:26 PM
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Originally Posted by MissionTrek08 View Post
I don't know if they'll separate Thursday figures or not, but you're correct that a Thursday ticket sale gets credited to that day.

In the end, I don't think it matters: no one is going to report on opening weekend sales (as Fri-Sun) and forget about Thursdays numbers -- they would just show the math separately and then add it all up for the total gross to-date on Monday. Thursday's dollars are just as valuable (and spendable) as Saturday's to Paramount.
Of course!! Just wanted to check that as far as I know the Thursday figure can be taken off the Thu-Sun figures so that the reported 'actual' opening of the weekend can be seen.
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  #84  
Old 05-07-2009, 12:27 PM
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Thats not good.
It would be well in excess of what any previous Trek film has opened at (unless we start to adjust for inflation).

It's not Dark Knight size, but it would be a pretty good start I think.
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  #85  
Old 05-07-2009, 01:31 PM
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I also have read the tracking estimates of around $60 mil. I think it will outperform those estimates but probably come in less than Wolverine. I am guessing $76-81 million dollar range.

The second weekend will tell the tale. We will know then if this film has broadened the appeal of Star Trek or is just drawing the core audience of fans.

Based on the glowing reviews from Trekkers and Non Trekkers alike it has a very good chance of having an extended run based on word of mouth recommendations.
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  #86  
Old 05-07-2009, 01:31 PM
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Thats not good.
It's not? How would you define good?
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  #87  
Old 05-07-2009, 02:04 PM
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74 millioni would be the best star a Trek film has EVER had...
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  #88  
Old 05-07-2009, 03:34 PM
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I'm guessing it will make over the $100million mark.
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  #89  
Old 05-07-2009, 04:47 PM
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At a $150mil budget, how much would this film need to make in order to break even?

It used to be conventional wisdom that a film needed to bring in three times its cost. Does that figure still apply (so in other words, $450mil)?
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  #90  
Old 05-07-2009, 07:05 PM
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Something around that figure, likely. Though let's not forget, there is a ton of ancillary merchandise and other profit generators out there will also pay the studio back for their investment. So profitability isn't solely based on ticket sales alone.
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